Gulf Climate Agent
Climate decision support for the GCC

Climate answers, grounded in the Gulf.

وكيل مناخ الخليج

Gulf Climate Agent (GCA) is a tool-augmented language model built for the six GCC states. It reads policy documents, satellite imagery and reanalysis data, calls specialised climate tools, and returns answers you can trace back to evidence.

~200k Gulf-grounded QA pairs 22 typed climate tools Fine-tuned Qwen2.5-VL 7B
gca · agent trace Illustrative example
act → observe → reason
UAE24.45°N 54.38°E
Saudi Arabia24.71°N 46.68°E
Qatar25.29°N 51.53°E
Kuwait29.38°N 47.99°E
Oman23.59°N 58.41°E
Bahrain26.23°N 50.59°E
Why a Gulf-specific agent

General models know climate. They don't know the Gulf.

General-purpose LLMs are weak on region-specific climate knowledge, numerical reasoning over climate plots, and jurisdiction-specific policy. GCA closes that gap with Gulf-grounded supervision and direct access to the data products decision-makers rely on.

201,410
Question–answer pairs in GCA-DS
12
Climate topic categories
22
Typed tools across 7 families
88.2%
End-to-end answer accuracy

Extreme heat

Heat forecasting, temperature anomalies and UV exposure at city level.

weather_analysis · uv_index_forecast

Dust storms

Particulate trends, exceedances and air-quality forecasts during dust events.

aqi_analysis · aqi_prediction

Flash floods

Rainfall extremes and river discharge from GloFAS hydrological signals.

rain_analysis · river_discharge_check

Land & coast

Desertification and moisture change from two-date satellite comparisons.

calculate_ndvi · desertification_analysis
How it works

Act, observe, reason. Then answer.

GCA keeps a trajectory of tool calls and observations. At each step it infers what kind of question it faces, calls the smallest set of tools that can answer it, and checks the result before going further.

01

Infer intent

Classify the dominant need behind the question before touching any tool.

textualnumericalgeospatialhealth
02

Route to tools

Narrow to a minimal tool family and emit a typed call with arguments.

geocode_mappingaqi_inquiry
03

Execute & validate

Run the call, then check schema, units and timestamps on the returned observation.

unitsschemauncertainty
04

Chain & synthesise

Compose more tools if needed, then write a response grounded in their outputs.

trendsmapssummary
previous conversation + tool outputs feed back into the next step
GCA-DS dataset

A multimodal climate dataset built from Gulf sources.

About 110k text items from government policy, NGO reports, academic papers and event news, plus 90k visual-temporal items rendered from reanalysis, atmospheric composition and hydrology products for cities across all six states.

Two curation pipelines

Automated extraction and synthesis, with human-in-the-loop verification on a subset.

Textual split~110k QA
  1. Keyword expansioncos-sim dedup < τ
  2. Web retrieval agentReAct loop
  3. Document parsingHTML · PDF
  4. ChunkingL=512, S=384
  5. Fact inductionatomic claims
  6. QA synthesisMCQ · T/F · open
Visual-temporal split~90k QA
  1. Multi-source ingestERA5 · CAMS · GloFAS
  2. Geocodingcity → (φ, λ)
  3. Spatial index0.05°–0.1° grids
  4. Unit normalisationcanonical CSV
  5. Plot builderΔ = 90 days, 10 yrs
  6. Visual QAanomaly · forecast
Variables covered
temperaturewind speedprecipitationPM₁₀PM₂.₅NO₂SO₂O₃COdustCO₂CH₄UV indexpollenriver dischargeCMIP6 HighResMIP

Composition

201,410 items across three question formats and twelve topics.

75,840Multiple choice
63,120True / false
62,450Open-ended
DatasetSizeAutomatedValidatedMultimodalRegionRemote sensingTopics
Climate Crisis QA (2024)19,241✓✗✗General✗5
Pirá 2.0 (2024)2,250✗✓✗General✗4
Climate-FEVER (2020)1,535✗✓✗General✗3
CPIQA (2025)54,612✓Partial✓General✗5
ELLE (2025)1,130✗✓✗General✗6
ClimaQA-Gold (2025)566✓✓✗General✗5
ClimaQA-Silver (2025)3,000✓✗✗General✗4
MMClima (2025)104,902✓✓✓General✗5
GCA-DS (ours)201,410✓Partial✓Gulf-specific✓12

Comparison of climate QA datasets (paper, Table 1). "Partial" means limited human validation such as expert-guided prompting or subset review.

Tool suite

Every tool has a typed signature.

Outputs are normalised for units, timestamps and uncertainty, so the agent can chain calls such as geocode → weather_analysis → summarize without ad hoc parsing.

Benchmark results

More reliable tool use than frontier models.

One LoRA fine-tuning run on GCA-DS turns Qwen2.5-VL 7B from the weakest model in the tool-use benchmark into the strongest on five of six metrics, ahead of GPT-5, Claude 4.5 Sonnet and Gemini 2.5 Pro.

Tool-use benchmark

0255075100

Gain from fine-tuning

GCA vs. its unadapted Qwen2.5-VL 7B base.

Tool selection+32.062.2 → 94.2
Argument names+31.058.3 → 89.3
Final answer+35.952.3 → 88.2

Tool-call errors

Share of calls, lower is better.

Backbone
Qwen2.5-VL 7B
Method
LoRA r=16, α=16
Optimiser
AdamW 8-bit, cosine
Learning rate
5×10⁻⁵ (emb. 1×10⁻⁵)
Benchmark
91 annotated questions
Using GCA responsibly

Known limitations

Partial validation

Only a subset of GCA-DS is human-verified. Automated QA generation can carry label or grounding errors.

Tool dependence

Outputs inherit biases, resolution limits and data gaps from upstream products, and tool failures can propagate.

Selective benchmark

The suite targets Gulf tool workflows, not full uncertainty quantification, attribution or long-horizon scenarios.

Expert oversight

High-stakes use needs monitoring, transparent provenance and review by domain experts.

Paper

GCA Framework: A GCC Countries–Grounded Dataset and Agentic Pipeline for Climate Decision Support

Muhammad Umer Sheikh1, Khawar Shehzad2, Salman Khan1,3, Fahad Shahbaz Khan1,4, Muhammad Haris Khan1

1 Mohamed Bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence (MBZUAI), UAE  ·  2 University of Missouri, USA  ·  3 Australian National University  ·  4 Linköping University, Sweden

arXiv:2604.12306cs.LGv3 · 8 Jun 2026

Climate decision-making in the GCC states increasingly demands systems that can translate heterogeneous scientific and policy evidence into actionable guidance. We present the GCA framework, which unifies GCA-DS, a curated multimodal dataset of ~200k question–answer pairs grounded in the GCC states, and Gulf Climate Agent, a tool-augmented agent for climate analysis. We benchmark open and proprietary LLMs on Gulf climate tasks and show that domain fine-tuning and tool integration substantially improve reliability over general-purpose baselines.

BibTeX
@article{sheikh2026gca,
  title   = {GCA Framework: A GCC Countries--Grounded Dataset
             and Agentic Pipeline for Climate Decision Support},
  author  = {Sheikh, Muhammad Umer and Shehzad, Khawar and
             Khan, Salman and Khan, Fahad Shahbaz and
             Khan, Muhammad Haris},
  journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.12306},
  year    = {2026}
}